Trader Discipline
Being up is not the same as having an edge. Owning coins is not the same as having rules. These are the two files an operator built for himself after a bad week, and they are the ones he still uses. You buy once, you own the file. No login, no subscription, no live data, nothing phones home.
Prediction Market Edge Audit
Log every Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx or Robinhood contract. The sheet calculates the hit rate you need (your average entry price) against the hit rate you got, fee drag, return per $1 risked, and a plain verdict: keep size, cut size, or stop. Broken out by category and platform, plus a tax tab with realized net by month.
- Breakeven vs actual hit rate, with partial credit for early sells
- Fee drag and return per $1 by platform
- Verdict line with a 100-contract minimum sample
- Realized net by month for your preparer
Crypto Rules Card
Write your rules once: max weight in any single altcoin, minimum in BTC/ETH/stablecoins, minimum market cap, no leverage, per-order cap, and a one-sentence thesis for every coin you hold. Then type any trade into the Pre-Buy Check and get BUY ALLOWED or DO NOT BUY, with the largest buy that still keeps every rule.
- Six rules, all editable
- Holdings tab with weights and pass/fail per coin
- Pre-Buy Check that solves the max size for you
Why these exist
The person who built these lost $333 on prediction markets in one week: 1,501 contracts, needed 62% to pay, 40% did, $0.64 back per $1. The sheet would have said "stop" by Tuesday. It cost $333 to learn that. This costs $29.
Plain terms
Excel 2016 or newer, or Google Sheets. Checkout links go live this week; until then the buttons open an email and you get a Stripe payment link back the same day, then the files. Digital goods, no refunds once downloaded, but if a formula is broken email support and it gets fixed. These are record-keeping and self-discipline tools. They are not financial, investment or tax advice, and nothing here predicts markets.